Possibility vs Probability
This morning my son noticed a teddy bear that is hung behind the bed, keeps …coming half out.
He wanted to know why. He wondered (jokingly) if the teddy bear was coming to life when we weren’t
looking,and edging out of his spot. I said that is a possibility, to which he dropped open his mouth…:D
Then I asked him to think of as many other possibilities as he could to explain the phenomena.
*the bear is indeed coming to life (which raises lots of other questions like…why is he just moving a
couple of inches when performing such a masterful feat! :D)
*while wrestling on the bed, the bed bumps up away from the wall, and the teddy bear might slip a bit
*someone could be moving the bear without him seeing it.
*someone could be moving the bear on purpose to play a joke on him to make him THINK the teddy bear was
coming to life 😀
*aliens could be coming during the night and “borrowing” the teddy bear because they didn’t have one of their own…
*the teddy bear didn’t move at all, the memory of where the bear was thought to be could be incorrect.
After having our fun, I asked which possibility was the most plausible possibility? Though he enjoyed
number one, (and the others..) he readily admitted number two.
I realized this was a perfect example of possibility vs probability.
We as humans can indeed realize possibilities that are not probabilities, and we can use reason and
critical thinking skills to base our conclusions off of the probabilities.
Because the other possibilities cannot be disproved does not make them “acceptable” to base a belief
system off of, or accepts as TRUTH.
And there are most certainly differing levels of possibility which lead further on the scale to
just some pondering thoughts…